Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

29 July 20250Comments

The Tide Finally Turns for the Rand...and You?

Welcome to this week's latest Rand Review... ...and it was certainly a pivotal week. Because something shifted, almost unawares. It is like watching the ocean on any day... ...it is so fascinating because it's

10 June 20250Comments

The Rand Defies Gravity...While Trump Drops Tariff Bombs (and Elon)

Welcome to our latest Weekly Rand Review... What a week it's been! The Rand actually strengthened against the Dollar by a solid 0.97%...despite Trump dropping tariff bombs (and 'falling out' with

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

1 December 20154Comments

Fed Rate Hike Fears and Crystal Balls

1 December 2015 I have been asked a lot about this the past few weeks - what are the chances of a US interest rate increase in December? In fact, it seems

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

10 November 20150Comments

Bad News, the Rand - and Your Emotions

10 November 2015 Well, we have broken to new highs on the Rand – against both the Dollar and the Pound. Is there any end in sight? Was there any way

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

30 September 20155Comments

Supermoons – and Laws of (Human) Nature

30 September 2015 Getting up a tad earlier than usual on Monday morning this week was certainly worth it! The Supermoon eclipse was a rare and magnificent sight – and one

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

3 September 20157Comments

What a Week! What Now?

3 September 2015 Wow, what a week and half it has been! We said the Rand was at a critical juncture in my last post, and so it was. But it wasn’t

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

19 August 20151Comments

Dollar/Rand at Critical Juncture

19 August 2015 The Rand has pushed higher the past few days, threatening a test of R13.00 to the Dollar... ... a level last seen on that day (21 December 2001), when

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

5 August 20152Comments

Rand at Extreme of Pattern and Sentiment

5 August 2015 Financial markets have been pretty hectic the past few weeks. And the past week has been a real humdinger, with the Rand making new mult-year 'lows' against the Dollar

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

13 March 20156Comments

Respect the Tide, Ride the Wave, Watch the Ripples - Part 3

13 March 2015 This is the last in this 3-part series of articles, in which we have shown how financial markets like the Rand can be likened to the movements of

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

3 March 20154Comments

Respect the Tide, Ride the Wave, Watch the Ripples - Part 2

3 March 2015 Last week we looked at the analogy of how foreign currency markets like the Dollar/Rand can be related to the ocean, and how there are cycles and moods

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

24 February 20158Comments

Respect the Tide, Ride the Wave, Watch the Ripples - Part 1

19 February 2015 We have heard some of these expressions before...and no doubt to some degree have experienced them ourselves in a positive and negative way. Perhaps the joy of simply being carried by

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

29 October 20140Comments

Can Governor Kganyago Tame the Rand?

27 October 2014 The announcement that deputy Governor Lesetja Kganyago will succeed outgoing Reserve Bank governor Gill Marcus in November was well received by the markets, with it being the first

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

10 September 20140Comments

Debt Bubbles, Bailouts and Bankers

9 September 2014 Well, well, our very own bank bailout! Should we not be proud to have joined the Global Bailout Club? As we all know by now, African Bank was placed under

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

7 July 20140Comments

Do YOU have Hot Bath Investor Syndrome?

4 July 2014 What does a nice, hot, deep bath have to do with the investing or trading in any financial market - whether the Rand, other currencies, gold, commodities, bonds,

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

6 June 20143Comments

Rand Bearish As It Bounces Off Support

6 June 2014 Since hitting a high of 11.38 to the Dollar at the end of January, the Rand enjoyed a full 3 months plus of bullish gains. But just when it

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

2 May 20142Comments

When Will SA’s External Debt Bubble Burst?

2 May 2014 Last post, we had a look at one of the major risks to the South African economy and the Rand – a Twin Deficit that has grown from

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

31 March 20142Comments

Is the Fragile Five Label Fitting?

31 March 2014 Last year Morgan Stanley coined the phrase the “Fragile Five,” lumping South Africa together with India, Brazil, Indonesia and Turkey as being the countries that were most at

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

7 March 20140Comments

Does News Determine Market Direction?

6 March 2014 Whenever there is a big move in the Rand (or any financial market for that matter), the first question that is asked is, “What news caused the Rand to

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

23 January 20140Comments

Rand Breaks Key Levels After Dismal Year

22 January 2014 Here's wishing you all a healthy and prosperous 2014! The Rand completed what has been a one-way trip against the Dollar during 2013, hitting 10.58 on the last day

Rand Forecasts - Expert Analysis & Predictions Since 2005

26 November 20130Comments

Do Interest Rates Really Drive the Rand?

Fundamental analysis plays a big part in how economists look at a currency and its future value. However, while some of these studies can be of assistance in the long term

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